Thursday, March 10, 2016

Recent ups and downs

The lessons to be learned from the recent ups and downs in early 2016 - basically January saw a downswing and fears of a -20% drop followed by a huge surge up at the time of this writing as of March 10 2016. Let us see what future unfolds but for now, we can reflect on this period and the current thought process on what I would have done with the current tools and strategy matrices etc and what would that resulted in:
The overall fluctuations across market did not catch up to the heights of many of the stocks. The core of the rally is powered by fundamentally strong and big volume stocks such as Walmart, AT&T among others. So really this rally is a rather locale or isolated rally than across the sector rally which would have more legs in it. So, I think things are going to go down in the coming weeks again. If there is any uncertainty coming from any part of the world, this froth is going to go down big time. So I would rather wait and watch. But the truth is maybe there was some buy and sell opportunity in the broader ETF and select stocks such as Walmart. But all in all, I would say if you had say 10,000 then maybe about 500 of this could be something that you could put into stocks or etfs and maybe swing it a bit. But anything more than that is a risk. Honestly even this 500 is a risk .. more conservatively I would say between 100 to 400 on the liberal side. So that is pretty much it. Some of them did well and some did not. So again monkey business as usual. And if you did not buy or sell and simply hold on to what you have .. then you have not really missed any big action here.

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